Turbomachinery Symposium
Klaus Brun, program director of the machinery program at Southwest Research Institute (SWRI), will present “Gas Turbine Degradation” with Rainer Kurz of Solar Turbines and Cyrus Meher-Homji of Bechtel at the 43rd Turbomachinery/30th Pump Symposia in Houston on Sept. 23 at 8:45 AM. The tutorial will explain deterioration mechanisms, including compressor and turbine fouling, erosion, increased clearances, and seal distress, along with their manifestations, rules of thumb, and mitigation approaches. The treatment will deal with simple-cycle gas turbines in power generation and mechanical drive applications and will also address the impact of performance deterioration on combined and cogeneration cycles. Brun and Timothy Allison, also with SWRI, will present “Acoustic Instability in Pilot-Operated Pressure Safety Valves” at the 43rd Turbomachinery/30th Pump Symposia in Houston on Sept. 25 at 10:30 AM. In this case study, pilot-operated pressure safety valves (PSVs) will be shown to be susceptible to a dynamic instability under certain conditions where valve dynamics couple with upstream piping acoustics. This self-exciting instability can cause severe oscillations of the PSV piston, damaging the valve seat, preventing resealing, and possibly causing damage to downstream piping. Test data will be presented, showing damaging unstable oscillations in a blow-down rig, and a methodology for modeling PSV acoustic instabilities will be explained. Modeling results will be compared with measured unstable operation in a test rig to show that the modeling approach accurately captures PSV behavior near unstable conditions. Learn more about the 43rd Turbomachinery/30th Pump Symposia at http://pumpturbo.tamu.edu.
Dr. Klaus Brun is the program director of the machinery program at Southwest Research Institute (SWRI) in San Antonio, Texas. His experience includes positions in engineering, project management, and management at Solar Turbines, General Electric, and Alstom. He holds six patents, has authored more than 150 papers, and has published two textbooks on gas turbines. Dr. Brun has won an R&D 100 award in 2007 for his semi-active valve invention and ASME Oil & Gas Committee Best Paper awards in 1998, 2000, 2005, 2009, 2010, and 2012. He was chosen to the "40 under 40" by the San Antonio Business Journal, and he’s the past chair of the ASME-IGTI board of directors and the past chairman of the ASME Oil & Gas Applications Committee. Dr. Brun also is a member of the API 616 and 692 task forces, the Middle East Turbomachinery Symposium, the Fan Conference Advisory Committee, and the Supercritical CO2 Conference Advisory Committee.
PS: How can plants use statistical and probabilistic tools to mitigate unpredictability in component performance?
KB: Basic statistical algorithms allow for the prediction of mean time between failure of individual components and can be combined to determine overall probability of plant failures. Thus, these tools can be valuable to determine maintenance or scheduled plant outage events and to avoid forced outages. However, one has to be careful since risk of failure increases with component operating hours. An over-reliance on time between failure statistics for maintenance, parts replacement, and overhaul intervals can lead to an increased risk of costly catastrophic failures and forced outages.
PS: Can you describe how Monte Carlo simulation and risk analysis more accurately define process uncertainty and its impact on machine performance?
KB: Monte Carlo simulation randomizes plant process input variables and performance parameters, usually — but not necessarily — based on a Gaussian distribution. This results in the ability to model the plant’s behavior not at a single operating point but over a realistic wide range of operating points. Other statistical methods exist that achieve similar simulation results, but Monte Carlo, based on numerical simplicity, is one of the easiest to implement into solver algorithms.
PS: Should plants be designed to perform under most-likely scenarios or worst-case scenarios?